Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004272 0.004495 0.004725 0.004978 0.005250 0.005533 0.005852
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003846 0.004175 0.004527 0.004933 0.005390 0.005890 0.006482
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003558 0.003942 0.004365 0.004867 0.005451 0.006113 0.006926
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003420 0.003854 0.004343 0.004939 0.005652 0.006485 0.007542
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003270 0.003736 0.004272 0.004939 0.005756 0.006735 0.008014
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003124 0.003612 0.004182 0.004904 0.005807 0.006914 0.008398
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002970 0.003468 0.004059 0.004819 0.005785 0.006994 0.008652
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002842 0.003349 0.003957 0.004751 0.005778 0.007087 0.008921
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002760 0.003282 0.003915 0.004755 0.005859 0.007291 0.009346
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002609 0.003122 0.003751 0.004593 0.005713 0.007188 0.009336
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002547 0.003072 0.003722 0.004603 0.005794 0.007388 0.009760
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002533 0.003081 0.003768 0.004713 0.006011 0.007783 0.010483
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002449 0.002998 0.003693 0.004659 0.006004 0.007866 0.010758
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002375 0.002926 0.003629 0.004618 0.006011 0.007971 0.011070
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002298 0.002847 0.003555 0.004558 0.005989 0.008028 0.011310
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002274 0.002838 0.003571 0.004624 0.006147 0.008357 0.011992
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002228 0.002796 0.003542 0.004624 0.006208 0.008542 0.012456
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002172 0.002741 0.003492 0.004592 0.006220 0.008651 0.012798
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002103 0.002665 0.003412 0.004514 0.006159 0.008644 0.012944
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002044 0.002600 0.003346 0.004452 0.006120 0.008668 0.013143
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002009 0.002569 0.003324 0.004455 0.006180 0.008849 0.013623
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001925 0.002468 0.003202 0.004307 0.006000 0.008639 0.013400
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001897 0.002443 0.003187 0.004317 0.006065 0.008827 0.013900